Category Archives: Conflict

About Iran and the Iranians

Someone just wrote to ask me what I’ve got against Iran.

I wrote to ask what he meant by that and he replied, saying, that I seem to have a lot of material on the blog that could be considered anti-Iranian or anti-Muslim. 

So, this is probably a good time to address the issue.

I am emphatically pro-Iranian and pro-Iran. Not the government bigwigs, but the guy running the fruit stand; the bakery; the neighbourhood taxi; or the woman getting her kids off to school in the morning; the young girl dreaming of her wedding; the young poet, whether she is writing about music… or dancing about architecture. 

Iran is a big country, with over 65 million people spread over an area about one-fifth the size of the United States. It has a brilliant culture that has woven itself together (with strands from many faraway places) over thousands of years. It has, at various times, made great strides in science, design, mathematics, human rights and political thought. I just don’t happen to consider the past 30 years of its history to be its crowning renaissance. And I think that most Iranians would—even if reluctantly—have to agree with me on that. 

As for being anti-Muslim: Anyone who can remember to give thanks to G-d five times a day is all right by me. The Lord Eternal is my Rock and Redeemer, too.

The crew presently running the show in Iran are not evil because they are Muslim. They are misguided because they would risk the whole world to advance their theological interpretation of the Mohammedan scriptures. They see “their way” as the best exemplar of the will of G-d (Allah), which is intrinsically arrogant. 

The reigning political cabal in Tehran bears strikingly resemblance to a sophisticated doomsday cult that would harness the national pride of its people and the broader surety of Islam in service of its own self-declared objective of hastening the appearance of the Messiah (al-Mahdi) by bringing the world to the brink of absolute chaos.

And that’s just not fair to the guy at the fruit stand. Not to mention the rest of us.

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Azerbaijan Tries Embassy Attack Plotters

UPDATED: June 11, 2009 4:30 p.m.
The two Lebanese suspects (Karaki Ali Mohammad and Najmaddin Ali Huseyn) were traveling under Iranian passports and had planned multiple attacks. According to the Jerusalem Post today, Azeri officials have reported in the media that the suspects are members of Hezbollah and have ties to the Iranian Revolutionary Guards and al-Qaida. Hezbollah has vowed to avenge the death of its terror mastermind Imad (no relation 🙂 ) Mugniyeh, who was blown to bits in a car-bomb explosion early last year. No one has claimed responsibility for the blast.
  

Azerbaijan court confirms two Lebanese
on trial for terror plot

Suspects ‘connected to Hizbullah And Al-Qaeda’
By Agence France Presse (AFP) 

Tuesday, June 02, 2009

bakuBAKU: Two Lebanese and four Azerbaijanis have gone on trial on terrorism charges in Baku for planning an attack on the Israeli Embassy in Azerbaijan’s capital, an official said Monday.

The trial, which began on May 27, is being held behind closed doors and has been adjourned until June 10, a spokesman for Azerbaijan’s serious crimes court told AFP on condition of anonymity.

“According to the indictment, the citizens of Lebanon … arrived in Azerbaijan under orders to commit acts of terrorism,” the spokesman said.

He said they were “connected to” the Lebanese Shiite resistance group Hizbullah and the Sunni Al-Qaeda network…
 

Continue reading… 

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Turbulence

Here are several stories about this week’s air traffic nightmares:

U.S. officials raise alarm about
new Venezuelan missiles

By Juan O. Tamayo | Miami Herald

Posted on Sunday, May 31, 2009

manpadVenezuela’s recent purchase of the most lethal shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles in the Russian arsenal is sharpening U.S. concerns that parts of President Hugo Chávez’s massive weapons buildup could wind up in the hands of terrorists or guerrillas in neighboring Colombia.

Washington’s unease is well-founded, U.S. government officials say, because of credible evidence that three top Venezuelan officials offered Colombia’s FARC rebels weapons, money and contacts to buy anti-aircraft missiles in 2007…

Continue reading…

AIR FRANCE DISASTER

And here’s a presumably unrelated story about an Air France jet (Flight 447 – an Airbus 330-200) that disappeared today somewhere in the vicinity of the Brazilian island archipelago of Fernando de Naronha en route to Paris from Rio. There were 228 souls aboard of various nationalities.

Shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles should generally not be a concern when traveling at altitudes of over 20,000 feet. Flight 447 was apparently flying at its intended “cruising altitude” of 35,000 feet.

I’m sure that authorities will have already checked the roster of small planes or jets that flew out of Naronha’s long-strip airfield yesterday. (At least, I hope they will have.)

UPDATE: June 1, 2009 – Plane wreckage found.

Missing and presumed dead in the crash are numerous business executives and Prince Pedro Luís de Orléans-Bragança, fourth in line to the Imperial Brazilian throne.

Just Last Week: Argentine Bomb Threat Against Air France.

Just five days before Flight 447 disappeared over the Atlantic during its Rio to Paris voyage, an Air France plane was delayed by a bomb threat as it waited to take off for Paris from Buenos Aires.

AND… Another presumably unrelated story about a plane over Texas that reported the lucky near-miss of a projectile at 13,000 feet.

Of course… there’s also the story about a possible attempt on the life of former Iranian President Mohammed Khatami, who dropped out of the current presidential race to support Mir-Hossein Mousavi.

UPDATE: June 23, 2009 – Signals from Black Boxes Detected by Sub?

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Stories Come and Stories Go…

MC sends along the following question:

I just saw this post and tried to go to Debka’s link but it is coming up “server not found” so thought I’d ask you if you’ve heard anything on this alleged deal between USA and Iran in military matters concerning Afghanistan.  Is this for real????

Source: debka.com
Published: Jun 1, 2009

Obama awards Iran role as U.S. military partner
(in Afgan-Pakistan conflict)

The Obama administration wants Iran as its key military and intelligence partner for resolving America’s Afghanistan-Pakistan (known now as “Afpak”) predicament. The shape of this alliance lacks final form; backdoor US-Iranian meetings at various levels are in progress at different venues to determine how far Tehran is willing to go. But the US president has set his course.

Click for Full Text! (not available at this time)

Hi MC,

Server seems to be up now.

Story missing, though.

As I’ve said about Debka before, their news contains a certain amount of conjecture because it’s not just news, but news and analysis. The accuracy of the analysis, and to a much smaller degree the news, will always vary. Nothing is written in stone — especially on the Internet. Use the Eighty-Twenty Rule: Just assume that 80% of what they publish is concrete and that the other 20% may be tainted by the preconceptions of the analyst; mistranslated from another language; or may include (accidentally or otherwise) false information. Your job (as a news reader) is to figure out what belongs in the eighty percentile, and what in the twenty.

The story is probably correct. The US has been looking at Iran as a necessary partner in resolving the situation in Afghanistan and Pakistan. Iran shares long borders with both countries, all of which meet just north of Zahedan, Iran. Towns like Zabol (Iran) and Zaranj (Afgh) are connected by road and there are also a number of off-road “caravan” routes used for rural trade and contraband smuggling. Sounds as if Mr. Obama is going to trade cooperation on this front for the expectation that Iran will be more forthcoming at future talks, especially the nuclear ones. However, I think it’s unlikely that Iran will prove to be of much real use in this capacity while they’re directly contributing to the on-going conflict in Afghanistan and have been no help (at best) on the Pakistan problem.

Also, please note that Israel is undergoing a major military manoeuvre (a nationwide civil defense drill) that will run all of this week. In such a context, this type of story can inflame public sentiment on related issues — especially since the drill is being held to train for attacks by Iranian proxies Hezbollah and Hamas, along with a possible military engagement of Iran itself.

Obama’s people and the Israelis have been very tight-lipped on certain aspects of their strategic foreign policy (though very loose on others) and either could conceivably have asked for the story not to be released… yet.

UPDATE: June 24, 2009 – Obama Sent Pre-Election Letter to Khamenei

afghanistan_rel_2003

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Higher resolution
Afghanistan map

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Ronnie Said So

reagan

© 2002, José V. Chung & Graphic Exchange (image adapted slightly)

 

Read the original October, 2002, article as published in Graphic Exchange magazine. It’s a strange but workable combination of astronomy, Deep Impact and the X-Files: colorspace.pdf (1 MB)


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